SP500 Forecast: Strong Open After U.S. Trillion-Dollar Stimulus Rumors


Talks about another stimulus package are set to restart soon. Nancy Pelosi, the House Speaker stated that they will resume negotiations about another economic relief package. According to various sources, the new proposal could be around $2.4 trillion in aid.

The last stimulus package had a direct impact on the stock market and consequently on the SP&500.

sp price

SP&500 4-Hour Chart – TradingView

It seems that thanks to the news the SP&500 has already survived its recent downtrend. On the 4-hour chart, the index was trading inside a downtrend with very clear lower lows, however, after the open of today at 3,346, bulls have managed to climb above the 12-EMA and the 26-EMA and broke the downtrend.

The next step for the bulls will be setting a higher low compared to 3,209 to confirm a 4-hour uptrend. The RSI was also quite overextended and has bounced back up to 52. The most important support level is now the 26-EMA at 3,328.

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SP&500 Daily Chart Forecast

SP&500 price

SP&500 Daily Chart – TradingView

While the bounce from September 25 and continuation today are great, the daily downtrend is still intact as the last high is all the way up at 3,428. Bulls are trying to push the index above the 26-EMA at 3,348 and have turned the 12-EMA into support.

The RSI is only at 50 and will not pose a threat to either the bulls or the bears. The 3,200 level is now established as a vital support level as it was defended several times in the past on July 24 and July 30.

We still don’t know exactly when the stimulus package is coming or if it will be $2.4 trillion. The speculation around it is certainly helping the S&P 500, however, a notable change in the terms of the package could have a devastating effect on the index.

Other indices also jumped today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 1.7% while the Nasdaq jumped 1.49%. Similarly, other stocks like TSLA raced 5% higher during the morning while AAPL saw a 1.1% increase.

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Lorenzo Stroe


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